Heartipedia

Predictions

Heartipedia’s own predictions: what we expect to happen next on the subjects we cover, reasoned from the facts each page cites and from trends we see. They are opinions, not sourced facts, and each one says so. A prediction’s words are never changed once made. When its check-by month has passed and the facts are known, we add the result under it, with the sources, whether we were right or wrong.

217 predictions made. Pages also carry 42 opinions under “What we think” (41 pages), which are views, not predictions, and are not scored.

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  • Football Manager 27

    Steam players forgive FM27 within a month

    We expect FM27's English Steam reviews to read Mostly Positive or better on Dec 10, 2026, a month after release. We think the free week did the filtering that Football Manager 26's launch never had.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2026 Made

  • Palm Springs by Nakheel

    Nakheel announces it in 2026

    We expect Nakheel to announce Palm Springs officially, with prices, before the end of December 2026.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2026 Made

  • Path of Exile 2

    A new Steam record in launch week

    We expect Path of Exile 2 to pass its all-time Steam peak of 578,569 concurrent players within a week of its free 1.0 launch on Dec 11, 2026.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2026 Made

  • Slay the Spire 2

    Back above 100,000 players after Nov 12

    We expect Steam's concurrent player count for Slay the Spire 2 to pass 100,000 at least once in the week after the Nov 12, 2026 update.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2026 Made

  • Slay the Spire 2

    Nov 12 is about new modes, not the new character

    We expect the Nov 12, 2026 beta to lead with Mega Crit's experimental game modes, playable alone and in co-op. We think the sixth character is not playable in that patch and reaches the beta branch only in 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2026 Made

  • Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War IV

    A bigger launch than any recent Dawn of War

    We think Dawn of War IV's peak on Steam in its launch week passes 40,000 players playing at once.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2026 Made

  • Ananta (video game)

    The counter passes 30 million before launch

    We expect the official pre-registration counter to pass 30 million before Jan 15, 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Ananta (video game)

    The Jan 15, 2027 date holds

    We expect Ananta to launch on Jan 15, 2027 on PlayStation 5, PC, iOS and Android, with no delay on any of the four.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Civilization IV

    The Complete Edition at $5.99 again this winter

    We expect the Civilization IV Complete Edition to sell for $5.99 or less in the US during Steam's winter sale of 2026.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Climate change

    2026 ends warmer than 2025

    We expect 2026 to finish warmer than 2025 in the Copernicus record.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Diablo IV

    The Amazon shadow-drops for pre-purchasers

    We expect Blizzard to open pre-purchase of the Amazon Class Pack before the end of 2026 and let buyers play the Amazon the same day, months before her official release.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Forza Horizon 6

    December's new race goes up a mountain

    Our prediction is that the permanent race route Playground promised for the Horizon Holidays series is a mountain or touge route outside Tokyo City, not a third Tokyo circuit.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Forza Horizon 6

    Expansion 1 takes the Festival to a warm island

    We expect Forza Horizon 6's first expansion to be set on a subtropical island in the style of Okinawa, with beaches and coastal roads, rather than in another part of the Japanese mainland.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Path of Exile 2

    The castle war gets cut back

    We expect Conquerors of Wraeclast's shared faction war over castles to be the most criticized part of the full release, and GGG to scale it back or make it optional in a patch within six weeks of launch.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Patrick Stewart

    Avengers: Doomsday keeps his last Professor X

    We expect Avengers: Doomsday to open on its scheduled date of Dec 18, 2026, with Stewart's scenes as Professor X kept in the film.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • SpaceX IPO

    Shares end 2026 above the IPO price

    We expect SpaceX shares (SPCX) to close their last trading day of 2026 above the $135 IPO price.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • SpaceX Starship

    Nothing goes to Mars in the 2026 window

    We expect no Starship to be launched toward Mars during the late 2026 launch window.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Subnautica 2

    Early Access 2 adds new ways to drive predators off, not weapons

    We expect Early Access 2 to give players at least one new tool or ability whose main use is to scare off or escape predators, such as a Biomod or a Frog chassis move. We think it adds no weapon that can kill a creature, and that Subnautica 2 reaches its full release without one.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2027 Made

  • Ananta (video game)

    The random paid items are outfits and car looks, not characters

    We expect the random items behind the App Store's loot box label to be cosmetic draws, such as outfit or vehicle-skin capsules, on sale from launch day. We think no character, and no item that makes a character stronger, will ever be sold at random.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Feb 2027 Made

  • Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4

    A top-three seller of 2026 without Game Pass

    We expect Modern Warfare 4 to rank among the three best-selling games of 2026 in the United States on Circana's full-year chart.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Feb 2027 Made

  • Metro 2039

    Metro 2039 ships on Feb 4, 2027 with no further delay

    We expect Metro 2039 to come out on Feb 4, 2027 on every announced platform at once, on the date Sony's State of Play announced. We think the one thing that could still move it is the war around the studio's Kyiv office, not the state of the game.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Feb 2027 Made

  • Persona 4 Revival

    A demo reaches home consoles and PC before launch

    We expect Atlus to release a free downloadable demo of Persona 4 Revival outside Japan before Feb 18, 2027, covering the opening and Yukiko's Castle, the same slice its Japanese store tour uses.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Feb 2027 Made

  • Stranger Than Heaven

    Shinjuku's secret is the Tojo name

    We expect the "tremendous secret" of the 1965 Shinjuku chapter to be that Makoto Daito takes the name Tojo, so the crime family he founds becomes the Tojo Clan under his own new name. We think the game ends in Kamurocho with Makoto as the clan's first chairman.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Feb 2027 Made

  • Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War IV

    The first big patch is about pathfinding and the camera

    We expect KING Art's first large patch after launch to fix infantry getting stuck on obstacles and to let players zoom the camera out further. We think it also adds a way to give orders while the game is paused in Skirmish against the computer.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Feb 2027 Made

  • 007 First Light

    The Bawma mission arrives free, before the Switch 2 version

    We expect IO Interactive to release the story content it teased in August, the alliance with Bawma that follows events in Mauritania, as a free update and not as paid DLC. We think it comes out before the Nintendo Switch 2 version on Mar 18, 2027, or on that day, so the new version launches with it.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • 2026 Iran war

    No agreement ending the war by March 2027

    We expect no signed agreement formally ending the war between Iran and the United States before the end of March 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Arc Raiders

    Eighteen million by February

    We expect Nexon to report at least 18 million copies of Arc Raiders sold in its results for the last quarter of 2026.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Climate change

    The US leaves the climate convention as planned

    We expect the United States to complete its withdrawal from the UN climate convention in February 2027 without a court stopping it.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Fable (2027 video game)

    Fable lands in the low to mid 80s

    We expect Fable's Metacritic score on its main platform to land between 80 and 86.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Fable (2027 video game)

    The Jack of Blades, not Isabel, is the final fight

    We think the last enemy the Hero faces in Fable's main story is the Jack of Blades, with Isabel revealed as his instrument rather than the true villain.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Forza Horizon 6

    Ten million players after the PS5 launch

    We expect Playground to announce more than 10 million Forza Horizon 6 players across all platforms by the end of March 2027, two months after the PlayStation 5 release.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Metro 2039

    Artyom is heard, not seen

    We expect Artyom, the hero of the first three games, to reach Metro 2039 only as a voice, on the radio or in a recording from outside Moscow, and never to appear in person.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Metro 2039

    The best-reviewed Metro yet

    We expect Metro 2039 to reach a PC Metascore of at least 85 on Metacritic, above every earlier main Metro game.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Metro 2039

    The good ending spares Hunter

    We expect Metro 2039 to keep two endings chosen by its hidden karma system, and we expect the better one to end with the Stranger turning Hunter back from what he has become rather than killing him.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope

    First science images by March 2027

    We expect NASA to publish the Roman telescope's first science images before the end of March 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Persona 4 Revival

    Critics land just below Golden

    We expect Persona 4 Revival's PlayStation 5 Metascore to land between 86 and 90, below the Vita original's 93 but in the range of Golden's later ports.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • World of Warcraft: Forever

    Hardcore before spring

    We expect Forever's Hardcore ruleset to open to players before Mar 31, 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Mar 2027 Made

  • Crimson Desert

    Seven million by the first anniversary

    We expect Pearl Abyss to announce at least 7 million copies of Crimson Desert sold by the end of March 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Apr 2027 Made

  • Probably Stolen

    Two million copies by spring

    We expect Questing Goose Studio or tinyBuild to announce 2 million copies sold before the April 2027 update ships.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Apr 2027 Made

  • Stranger Than Heaven

    A million sold within two months

    We expect SEGA to announce that Stranger Than Heaven has sold at least 1 million copies by the end of March 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Apr 2027 Made

  • Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War IV

    Jonah Orion leads the prologue, against Chaos

    We think the Blood Ravens Story Prologue is led by Jonah Orion, and we expect its enemy on Aurelia to be Chaos, which would make the prologue the first playable look at the faction Aftermath adds.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Apr 2027 Made

  • Arc Raiders

    The spring update brings Expeditions back with an eighth map

    We expect Embark's next major update to arrive in April 2027, about six months after Frozen Trail. We expect Expeditions to return in that update, not before it, and we expect it to add a new map.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: May 2027 Made

  • Artificial intelligence

    Generative AI passes 60% of the world

    We expect Stanford's next AI Index to estimate that more than 60% of the world's population uses generative AI.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: May 2027 Made

  • Grand Theft Auto VI

    Over 40 million copies by the end of March 2027

    We expect Take-Two to report that Grand Theft Auto VI sold more than 40 million copies by Mar 31, 2027, the end of its fiscal year.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: May 2027 Made

  • Path of Exile 2

    An eleventh class in the first league after 1.0

    We expect the first major update after the full release to add an eleventh class, one of the two still missing from the twelve GGG planned. We think it arrives in spring 2027, on the four-month rhythm Jonathan Rogers described.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: May 2027 Made

  • Probably Stolen

    The Organ Trader arrives in April, not January

    We expect the Organ Trader to be the second new starting scenario after the Junker, released with the April 2027 major update, and the Street Food Vendor to come later than both. We think the January 2027 update adds items, perks and machines to the existing nine scenarios rather than a new one.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: May 2027 Made

  • Arc Raiders

    PvE returns, but only as a side queue

    We expect Embark to keep a PvE option for good, as a separate queue limited to some maps or conditions, not a switch on every raid. We think it goes live with the spring 2027 update.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • Deadlock (video game)

    The next heroes come by vote in spring 2027

    Our prediction is that the next batch of six heroes starts arriving between April and June 2027, again released one at a time in an order players vote on in the Hideout.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • Diablo IV

    Cheaper than an expansion

    We expect the Amazon Class Pack to cost $24.99 or less in the US.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • Elon Musk

    Back above a trillion dollars by mid-2027

    We expect Forbes to put Musk's net worth above one trillion dollars again before July 1, 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • Phantom Blade Zero

    A free boss rematch mode

    We expect a free update to add a way to fight the game's bosses again on their own, as a rematch menu or a boss rush, by the end of June 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • Russian invasion of Ukraine

    No general ceasefire by mid-2027

    We expect no general ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine to be in force on June 30, 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • Soulframe

    Tempest Bayor's corrupted path becomes playable with Warsongs

    We think the Warsongs Fable reaches players by the end of June 2027, and that it lets every Envoy take up the corrupted path Tempest Bayor follows, as a Pact of its own, not only face it in an enemy.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • SpaceX IPO

    No SpaceX and Tesla merger agreement by mid-2027

    We think SpaceX and Tesla will not sign a merger agreement before July 1, 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • Subnautica 2

    An outside chief executive, from a Western studio, by mid-2027

    We expect Krafton and Unknown Worlds to name the studio's new chief executive by the end of June 2027. We think the choice is a veteran of a North American or European game studio, not an executive from Krafton or one of its other studios.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

    Past 70 million

    We expect CD Projekt to report more than 70 million copies of The Witcher 3 sold by the end of June 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jun 2027 Made

  • 007 First Light

    Six million by the first anniversary

    We expect IO Interactive to announce at least 6 million copies sold by the end of June 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jul 2027 Made

  • Aion 2

    The Brawler arrives worldwide with Chapter 1, not alone

    We expect the Brawler to reach Aion 2's global version together with Chapter 1's higher level cap and the regions Eltnen and Morheim, in one update, before the end of July 2027. We think NC will not release the class on its own ahead of that chapter.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jul 2027 Made

  • Chrono Odyssey

    One more slip, past June 2027

    We expect Chrono Odyssey not to be on sale anywhere by the end of June 2027, the end of the window Kakao Games gave in August 2026. We think the next date Kakao Games gives will fall in the second half of 2027 or later.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jul 2027 Made

  • Enshrouded

    Xbox arrives with cross-play, and PlayStation joins later

    We expect the Xbox Series X|S version to launch in spring 2027 with cross-play between Xbox and PC from its first day. We think PlayStation 5 joins that cross-play only in a later update, after the Xbox launch.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jul 2027 Made

  • The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time

    The retro masks give Link his Nintendo 64 look

    We expect the masks unlocked by the Young Link and Young Zelda amiibo to swap the remake's models for the low-polygon 1998 look, a cosmetic change with no effect on play. We think Nintendo releases both amiibo in the first half of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jul 2027 Made

  • The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

    Songs of the Past in the first half of 2027

    We expect Songs of the Past to come out between January and June 2027, not in the fall.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jul 2027 Made

  • Aion 2

    Global servers are merged within a year

    We expect NC to merge or permanently link global Aion 2 servers before the end of September 2027, the first anniversary of the global launch.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Sep 2027 Made

  • Slay the Spire 2

    A sixth character built for co-op

    Our prediction is that the sixth character is the first one designed around co-op: a climber whose own cards help or change allies, not only the multiplayer card set every character shares.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Sep 2027 Made

  • Wardogs

    A tenth of the launch crowd a year later

    We expect Wardogs' highest Steam player count in September 2027 to be below 40,000, a tenth of its record of 400,196.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Sep 2027 Made

  • Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War IV

    Aftermath brings Chaos Space Marines

    We expect the new faction of Aftermath, the paid expansion placed in summer 2027, to be the Chaos Space Marines. We think KING Art reveals it within weeks of the Blood Ravens Story Prologue's release, not before.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Sep 2027 Made

  • World of Warcraft: Forever

    Molten Core is the revamped iconic raid

    We expect the "revamped iconic raid" on Forever's roadmap to be Molten Core, rebuilt with new mechanics rather than copied from 2004, and open to players by the end of September 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Sep 2027 Made

  • Battlefield 6

    Still 20,000 Steam players two years in

    We expect Battlefield 6 to still reach more than 20,000 concurrent players on Steam on its best day in October 2027, two years after launch.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Oct 2027 Made

  • Enshrouded

    The first paid expansion leaves Embervale

    We expect Keen to announce Enshrouded's first paid expansion before Oct 15, 2027, set in a new land outside Embervale. We think it brings a new enemy faction of its own and continues the story that the full release closed.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Oct 2027 Made

  • Fable (2027 video game)

    Order of the Hero arrives before the end of October 2027

    We expect Fable: Order of the Hero, the story expansion in the Premium Edition, to be playable by Oct 31, 2027, about eight months after launch.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Oct 2027 Made

  • Final Fantasy Resonance

    One million copies before the end of Square Enix's 2027 fiscal half

    We expect Square Enix to announce that Final Fantasy Resonance has sold or shipped at least 1 million copies worldwide by Sep 30, 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Oct 2027 Made

  • Football Manager 27

    Set pieces are Football Manager 28's headline

    We think Football Manager 28's first feature deep dive is a rebuilt set-piece system: a new set-piece creator and set-piece coaches who matter more. We expect it to be sold as the touchline control this year's game started with Tactical Tweaks, carried to corners and free kicks.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Oct 2027 Made

  • ArcheAge Chronicles

    The Crimson Rift returns as scheduled PvP

    We expect the Crimson Rift, promised in XL Games' 2024 developer diary and not mentioned since, to come back during Early Access as a scheduled event in PvP channels with a reward for winning. Our prediction is that it is the first structured PvP the game gets, before any arena.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Nov 2027 Made

  • 007 First Light

    Amazon names IO Interactive as the developer of a second Bond game

    We expect a second Bond game from IO Interactive to be officially announced by the end of 2027, with Amazon MGM Studios as a partner. We think it continues the story of this young Bond rather than starting over with a new one.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • 007 First Light

    The game joins PlayStation Plus Extra or Game Pass

    We expect IO Interactive's Bond game to be added to PlayStation Plus Extra or Xbox Game Pass before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Aion 2

    China gets Aion 2 on mobile as well as PC

    We think Aion 2's Chinese version, published by Shengqu Games, opens a public test in mainland China before the end of 2027, and we expect it to include mobile from the start, as the Korean version does, unlike the PC-only global version.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Al Marjan Island

    Wynn opens in 2027

    We expect Wynn Al Marjan Island to open to guests before the end of 2027, within a quarter of its September 2027 target.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Ananta (video game)

    A Project Mugen face comes back

    Our prediction is that at least one character from the 2023 Project Mugen trailers, cut from the official roster since, returns as a playable ally in a 2027 update.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Ananta (video game)

    No Xbox version through 2027

    We expect no Xbox or Nintendo Switch 2 version of Ananta to be announced before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Arc Raiders

    A Chinese release with Tencent

    We expect Arc Raiders to launch commercially in mainland China, operated with Tencent, before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Arc Raiders

    Embark's next game is set in the Rust Belt

    We expect at least one of Embark's two unannounced games to be revealed before the end of 2027 and to be set in Arc Raiders' world. We think it will not be another extraction shooter.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • ArcheAge Chronicles

    Consoles wait for the full release

    We expect no PlayStation 5 or Xbox Series X|S version of ArcheAge Chronicles to come out before 2028. We think the console versions arrive with the full release or after it, not during Early Access.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • ArcheAge Chronicles

    Ships and a sea trade run before 1.0

    We expect XL Games to announce ships for ArcheAge Chronicles before its full release, with a trade run that crosses water between two regions of Auroria. We think naval combat in PvP channels comes with them, as the risky half of that route.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Artificial intelligence

    No federal AI law in the United States

    We expect the United States to pass no federal law regulating AI systems by risk, as the EU AI Act does, before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Artificial intelligence

    The EU delays its high-risk rules again

    We expect the European Union to push back the AI Act's rules for high-risk systems again before Dec 2, 2027, the first date they are now due.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Battlefield 6

    No new Battlefield announced before 2028

    We think EA will not announce the next mainline Battlefield before the end of 2027, and will sell new seasons of Battlefield 6 instead.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Battlefield 6

    RedSec becomes its own game

    We expect EA to spin RedSec, Battlefield 6's free battle royale, off into its own store listing with its own name before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4

    DMZ gets a second map

    We expect DMZ to get a second full map of its own, not another zone reached through Hajin, before the end of 2027. We think it will be built from one of the campaign's other settings, most likely Mumbai or New York.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4

    Kill Block comes to Warzone

    We expect a Kill Block map or mode, built from the same movable sections, to appear in Warzone, in Resurgence or a limited-time playlist, by the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • ChatGPT

    A cheaper ad-free plan between Go and Plus

    We expect OpenAI to sell an ad-free plan priced below $20 a month in the United States, either as a new tier or as an ad-free option on Go, by the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • ChatGPT

    Ads move into Work and shopping, never into Plus

    We expect ChatGPT's ads to reach a second surface beyond the answer in Chat, such as sponsored suggestions inside Work tasks or in shopping results, by the end of 2027, while Plus and every higher plan stay free of ads.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • ChatGPT

    The next retirement is the Classic desktop app

    We expect OpenAI to announce a shutdown date for the ChatGPT Classic desktop app before the end of 2027, and to keep retiring at least one other named ChatGPT feature a year.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • ChatGPT

    Work replaces Chat as the app's front door

    We expect OpenAI to make Work the mode a new ChatGPT conversation opens in for paid users, or to merge Chat and Work into a single box that decides for itself whether a request is a quick answer or a longer job, before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Chrono Odyssey

    A standard edition at $49.99 or less

    We expect the standard edition of Chrono Odyssey to cost $49.99 or less in the United States. We think the extra money comes from a pricier edition with cosmetics, on top of the battle pass.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Chrono Odyssey

    PC first, consoles after

    We think Chrono Odyssey launches on PC before it reaches PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S, despite Kakao Games' stated goal of a launch on every platform at once.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Chrono Odyssey

    The Assassin and a new opening in the second test

    We expect the next public test of Chrono Odyssey to make the Assassin playable alongside the Swordsman, Ranger and Berserker of the 2025 beta. Our prediction is that the same test also shows the rewritten story's opening, on a different premise from the one the beta opened with.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Civilization III

    A Steam Deck rating stays out of reach

    We expect Civilization III Complete to have no "Playable" or "Verified" Steam Deck rating at the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Civilization III

    C3X wonders become districts on the map

    We expect the fan mod that patches Conquests to publish, before the end of 2027, a version that lets wonders be built as their own districts on tiles outside the city center, the way Civilization VI places them. We think it will ship as an option, off by default, like the districts system it extends.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Civilization III

    Civilization VII's next expansion brings back a price for sprawl

    We expect Civilization VII's first paid expansion to add a cost that grows with an empire's size and its distance from the capital, a modern form of Civilization III's corruption. We think Firaxis will present it as a choice between a tall and a wide empire rather than as a penalty.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Civilization IV

    Free again, in a giveaway or a subscription

    We expect Civilization IV, the Complete Edition or Beyond the Sword to be given away free or added to a game subscription such as Amazon Prime, the Epic Games Store or PC Game Pass before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Claude (language model)

    Claude 6 launches as a public model and a restricted twin

    We expect Anthropic's first Claude 6 model to arrive before the end of 2027 as a pair, a public Fable model and a Mythos model with some safeguards lifted for vetted organizations only, as with both Fable releases before it.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Claude (language model)

    Images come from someone else's model

    We expect the Claude apps to start generating pictures before the end of 2027 by handing the request to another company's image model, not one Anthropic trains itself.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Claude (language model)

    The agent comes to the Free plan

    We expect Anthropic to give Free users a limited version of the agent mode that came from Cowork, where Claude works through a longer task and keeps going in the cloud, before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Claude (language model)

    The next Opus costs $3 or less

    We expect the next Opus model after Opus 5.5 to cost $3 or less per million input tokens on the Claude API.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Crimson Desert

    A co-op mode starts with the Garden of Trials

    We expect the first multiplayer of any kind in Crimson Desert to be a co-op boss challenge, built on the Garden of Trials or the boss rematches, rather than a shared open world. We think Pearl Abyss shows it, at least as a test, before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Crimson Desert

    Crimson Desert joins a subscription catalog

    We expect Crimson Desert to be added to PlayStation Plus Extra or Xbox Game Pass before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Crimson Desert

    The Switch 2 version ships as a complete edition with the DLC

    We expect Crimson Desert to come to Nintendo Switch 2 as a single edition that includes Charting the Unknown, not as the base game with the DLC sold later. We expect Nintendo to announce it in a Nintendo Direct before it goes on sale.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Cristiano Ronaldo

    150 goals for Portugal

    We expect Ronaldo to score his 150th goal for Portugal before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Cristiano Ronaldo

    He captains Portugal in the next Nations League

    We expect Ronaldo to captain Portugal in at least one match of the next UEFA Nations League.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Cristiano Ronaldo

    Still playing at the end of 2027

    We expect Ronaldo to still be playing professional football at the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Deadlock (video game)

    A third mode built around a different goal

    We expect Deadlock's next big update to add a third public mode beside Standard and Street Brawl that changes the goal rather than shortening the match, such as an attack-and-defend round or a cooperative mode against computer-controlled enemies.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Deadlock (video game)

    Still invite-only at the end of 2027

    We expect Deadlock to still require a friend's invite on Dec 31, 2027, with no public release before 2028.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Diablo IV

    A second Class Pack before Diablo V

    We expect Blizzard to announce a second Diablo IV Class Pack, after the Amazon, before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Diablo V

    The Necromancer is the next class shown

    We expect the Necromancer to be the next Diablo V class Blizzard reveals, before the end of 2027. We think the Barbarian is held back as a launch-season surprise.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Donald Trump

    More than 700 lawsuits

    We expect the count of lawsuits challenging his second administration's actions to pass 700 before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Enshrouded

    Keen-made adventures in Adventure Sharing

    We expect Keen to publish official adventures of its own, built with Sparkworks and featured in the Adventure Sharing menu, before the end of 2027. We think Keen also adds a featured or curated list of player-made adventures to that menu in the same period.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Fable (2027 video game)

    A dog comes back after launch

    Our prediction is that Fable gets a dog companion before the end of 2027, in Order of the Hero or a free update.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Final Fantasy Resonance

    A free update adds New Game Plus and an early encounter switch

    We expect Final Fantasy Resonance's first content update to add New Game Plus, carrying Visions and their mastered abilities into a new run. We think the same update lets players turn random encounters off long before the very late point the game now asks for.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Final Fantasy Resonance

    Brave Exvius's second season gets its own HD-2D game

    We expect Square Enix to announce a follow-up to Final Fantasy Resonance that adapts Brave Exvius's second season, as a new game rather than DLC for this one. We think it is shown before the end of 2027, with Rain, Lasswell and Fina back and new Visions added.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Final Fantasy Resonance

    Resonance comes to phones, sold once with no gacha

    We expect Square Enix to announce an iOS and Android version of Final Fantasy Resonance by the end of 2027, a single paid game with nothing to pull for.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Football Manager 27

    Football Manager 28 gets a free week too, and so does a rival

    We expect Sports Interactive to repeat the free Launch Preview for Football Manager 28 in the fall of 2027, open to every PC and Mac player before launch. We think at least one other publisher of a yearly sports game copies the idea by the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Football Manager 27

    Shuffle Draft gets a FIFAe competition

    We expect Shuffle Draft to get an official competitive layer run with FIFAe during 2027: a ranked ladder, a FIFAe tournament, or both. We think an esports partner did not sign up for a mode that is only private lobbies and evenings with friends.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Forza Horizon 6

    Expansion 2 is Hot Wheels in Japan

    We think the second expansion is a Hot Wheels expansion, a world of orange track built above or beside the map, released in the second half of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Gaza war

    Israel still holds ground past the Yellow Line

    We expect Israeli forces to still hold territory beyond the Yellow Line at the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Gaza war

    Reconstruction starts where Israel holds the ground

    We think the first large rebuilding paid for by the Board of Peace's program will happen in areas under Israeli control, not in areas Hamas controls.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Gaza war

    The stabilization force stays under half strength

    We expect fewer than 10,000 soldiers of the international stabilization force, half of the planned 20,000, to be deployed in Gaza at the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • God of War (franchise)

    God of War (2018) past 30 million

    We expect Sony or Santa Monica Studio to say that God of War (2018) has sold more than 30 million units by the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Grand Theft Auto VI

    GTA Online on Grand Theft Auto V gets its last big update in 2027

    We expect Rockstar to say in 2027 that GTA Online on Grand Theft Auto V will get no more major content updates, within months of the new online mode going live.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Grand Theft Auto VI

    The online mode arrives as a free update, set in Leonida, in 2027

    We expect Rockstar to release Grand Theft Auto VI's online mode in 2027 as a free update for owners of the game, set in Leonida rather than in a new map. We think its first big update after that will be a cooperative heist, the format GTA Online has leaned on for years.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Heroes of Might and Magic III

    Classic becomes the preset most players pick

    We think the Classic Playstyle will become the Remake's default view for most of its veteran players, and that Ubisoft will make it the preset the game suggests on first launch before release.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Heroes of Might and Magic III

    Second half of 2027, after the feature cycles

    We expect the Remake to come out between July and December 2027, not in the first half of the year.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • International Lunar Research Station

    Chang'e 7 launches in 2027

    We expect Chang'e 7 to launch before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Kingdom Come: Deliverance II

    Eight million copies by the end of 2027

    We expect PLAION, Warhorse or Embracer to announce that Kingdom Come: Deliverance II has sold 8 million copies by the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Kingdom Come: Deliverance II

    Into a subscription catalog

    Our prediction is that Kingdom Come: Deliverance II joins the Xbox Game Pass or PlayStation Plus catalog before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Kingdom Come: Deliverance II

    The first game follows Henry to Switch 2

    We expect Deep Silver to announce the first Kingdom Come: Deliverance for Nintendo Switch 2 before the end of 2027, sold alone and with the sequel as a Saga Edition.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Mars rovers

    Curiosity and Perseverance both still driving at the end of 2027

    We expect both Curiosity and Perseverance to still be working on Mars at the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Mars rovers

    Perseverance's samples stay on Mars for now

    We think no mission to bring Perseverance's samples back to Earth will be funded to fly before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Metro 2039

    The Story Expansion follows someone other than the Stranger

    We expect the 2027 Story Expansion sold with the Deluxe Edition to be a self-contained chapter led by a different character, not more of the Stranger's own story. We think it tells the Novoreich's rise, or a Sevastopolskaya story, from the side of someone who lived through it.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • NASA Moon Base

    VIPER misses late 2027

    We expect VIPER to miss its planned delivery to the lunar south pole in late 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Path of Exile 2

    Path of Exile 2 on Nintendo Switch 2

    Our prediction is that GGG announces a Nintendo Switch 2 version of Path of Exile 2 before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Persona 4 Revival

    The original English voices come back as an option

    We think the recast will be the loudest argument at launch, and our prediction is that Atlus answers it by adding Persona 4 Golden's English voice track as an option, as a patch or paid add-on, by the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Phantom Blade Zero

    A paid story expansion, with Mó Yuan playable

    We expect S-Game to announce a paid story expansion for Phantom Blade Zero by the end of 2027. We think it will let players control Donnie Yen's Mó Yuan, at least in part, in a story set before Soul's 66 days.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Phantom Blade Zero

    Xbox Series X|S follows after the PlayStation year

    We expect a version for Xbox Series X|S to be announced in 2027 and released no earlier than November 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Probably Stolen

    A Switch 2 version, announced in 2027

    We think tinyBuild announces a console version of Probably Stolen during 2027, with Nintendo Switch 2 first. Our prediction is that it is announced after the April 2027 update, so that it launches with the Junker and the other new content.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Probably Stolen

    The story expansion adds a third way to win

    We think the main storyline expansion, which the studio says will affect the station and the ending, adds a new winning ending that is not a buyout, such as siding with the Revolution or a faction taking the station. We expect it after April 2027, as the first update of the second half of the year.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Slay the Spire 2

    A winnable Architect at 1.0, in 2027

    We expect Slay the Spire 2 to leave Early Access in 2027, and we think its true ending turns the Architect, who now kills every climber, into a final fight that can be won.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Soulframe

    Mounted combat from the Omen Wolf's back

    We expect Soulframe to let Envoys fight from the back of the Omen Wolf before the end of 2027. We think it arrives as a Preludes update of its own, with attacks built for the mount rather than ordinary weapons used from the saddle.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Soulframe

    Playable on Steam in 2027, announced at TennoCon

    We expect Soulframe to become playable through Steam during 2027, and we think Digital Extremes announces it on stage at TennoCon 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • SpaceX IPO

    Cursor is sold under the Grok name

    We expect SpaceX to put Cursor, the coding tool it agreed to buy, under its xAI brand, selling it as part of Grok or with Grok inside it by default, before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • SpaceX Starship

    Orbital refueling is shown by the end of 2027

    We expect Starship to transfer propellant between two vehicles in Earth orbit before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Star Wars Zero Company

    More Zero Company is announced by the end of 2027

    We expect Electronic Arts to announce paid story content or a sequel for Star Wars Zero Company before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Stranger Than Heaven

    A Nintendo Switch 2 version is announced

    We expect SEGA to announce a Nintendo Switch 2 version of Stranger Than Heaven before the end of 2027, with no PlayStation 4 or Xbox One version.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Subnautica 2

    Subnautica beyond games

    We expect Krafton to announce a Subnautica project outside video games, a film, a series or an animated show, before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Subnautica 2

    Ten million sold by the end of 2027

    We expect Krafton or Unknown Worlds to report that Subnautica 2 has sold more than 10 million copies by the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time

    No Master Quest and no hard mode

    We expect Nintendo to add neither Master Quest nor a hard mode to the Switch 2 remake, free or paid, by the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • The Valley (Dubai)

    More collections by the end of 2027

    We expect Emaar's page for The Valley to list at least 26 collections by the end of 2027, up from 24.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • The Valley (Dubai)

    The next launch is in The Valley West

    We expect Emaar's next new collection in The Valley to be in The Valley West, the phase it began promoting in 2024.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

    Songs of the Past hands the series to Ciri

    We expect Songs of the Past to end with a nod to Ciri's life as a witcher, a letter, a message or an epilogue scene that points toward The Witcher 4, while Ciri never appears as a playable character. We think the expansion will not settle which of the base game's endings is canon.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Tomb Raider

    125 million games sold

    We expect Crystal Dynamics or Amazon to announce that the series has passed 125 million games sold by the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Tomb Raider

    Catalyst slips to 2028

    We expect Amazon Game Studios or Crystal Dynamics to officially move Tomb Raider: Catalyst to 2028 before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Tomb Raider

    The Legend trilogy gets its Remastered collection

    We expect a remastered collection of Tomb Raider: Legend, Anniversary and Underworld to be announced before the end of 2027, in the format of Aspyr's two earlier collections.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Valheim

    A paid expansion after 1.0

    We expect Iron Gate to announce a paid expansion or a new region for Valheim before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Valheim

    Reviews stay above 90% positive

    We expect Valheim's Steam user reviews to still be more than 90% positive at the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Wardogs

    Out of early access before 2028

    We expect Wardogs to leave early access with a full release before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Wikipedia

    Human page views keep falling

    We expect the Wikimedia Foundation to report fewer human page views in 2027 than in 2025.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • World of Warcraft: Forever

    A second new race, and the Skyborne for everyone

    We expect Blizzard to announce a second new playable race for Forever before the end of 2027, and we think that when it does, the Skyborne will become playable with a subscription alone.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • World of Warcraft: Forever

    Forever on Xbox

    We think Blizzard will announce World of Warcraft: Forever for Xbox consoles before the end of 2027, the first time any version of World of Warcraft has been announced for a console.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • YouTube

    Another country bans accounts for children

    We expect at least one more country to bring in a ban on social media accounts for children under sixteen that covers YouTube before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • YouTube

    Teen design changes after the addiction verdict

    We expect YouTube to change how its service works for teenagers, such as limiting endless Shorts or autoplay, and to say the change answers the addiction cases, before the end of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • YouTube

    YouTube passes 17% of US TV viewing

    We expect Nielsen to measure YouTube at more than 17% of all US television viewing time in at least one month of 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2027 Made

  • Climate change

    2027 sets a new record

    We expect 2027 to be the warmest year measured, beating 2024.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2028 Made

  • Enshrouded

    No Steam peak above 1.0's before 2028

    We expect no day before Jan 1, 2028 to beat the 1.0 Steam peak of 113,542 concurrent players, not even the launch of the first paid expansion.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2028 Made

  • God of War (franchise)

    The Prime Video series waits for 2028

    We expect Prime Video's God of War series not to premiere before January 2028. We think Amazon will hold its first season until it can promise the second soon after.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2028 Made

  • Phantom Blade Zero

    Ten million copies by the end of 2027

    We expect S-Game to announce at least 10 million copies sold across all platforms by Dec 31, 2027.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jan 2028 Made

  • Soulframe

    No console version before 2028

    We think Soulframe will not be playable on any PlayStation, Xbox or Nintendo console before Jan 1, 2028. Our prediction is that the first console version is announced together with a full release, not as part of Preludes.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2028 Made

  • Persona 4 Revival

    Golden's whole story ships in the box

    We expect every story addition Persona 4 Golden made, the winter epilogue and its extra dungeon included, to be in Persona 4 Revival's base game on Feb 18, 2027. We expect no paid story add-on for Revival to be announced in its first year, so its paid extras stay costumes, Personas and music.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Feb 2028 Made

  • Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era

    1.0 comes late in 2027, not on the first anniversary

    We expect Olden Era to leave Early Access between October 2027 and March 2028, well after the one year Unfrozen planned. We think the underground layer arrives first, in a large update of its own in the first half of 2027.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Mar 2028 Made

  • Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era

    $49.99 by the full release

    We expect the Steam price to rise from $39.99 to $49.99 no later than the day 1.0 comes out.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2028 Made

  • Kingdom Come: Deliverance II

    The next Kingdom Come leaves CryEngine

    We think the new Kingdom Come adventure will not run on CryEngine. We expect Warhorse to build it on Unreal Engine 5, and to say so when the game is revealed.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2028 Made

  • Slay the Spire 2

    Console versions announced with the 1.0 date

    We expect Mega Crit to announce console versions, Nintendo Switch 2 among them, at the same time as the date of the full release, not before.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Mar 2028 Made

  • The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time

    The best-selling version of Ocarina of Time

    We expect Nintendo to report the Switch 2 remake above 7.6 million copies by the end of March 2028, which would make it the best-selling version of the game, ahead of the Nintendo 64 original and the 3DS remake.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: May 2028 Made

  • Grand Theft Auto VI

    The PC version launches with the online mode on day one

    We expect a PC version to be announced in 2027 and to reach Steam and the Rockstar Games Launcher on the same day, with the online mode included from its first day rather than added later.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jun 2028 Made

  • Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era

    The Hive's master gets a name, and a mission plays the Hive

    We expect the campaign's final two acts to name the Hive's demonic master and to put the player in command of the Hive for at least one mission. We think the campaign ends with every other faction allied against him.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jun 2028 Made

  • Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4

    No Modern Warfare 5

    We think Activision will not announce a game called Modern Warfare 5 before November 2028. We expect Infinity Ward's next game to start a new subseries or a new numbered reboot instead.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Nov 2028 Made

  • Diablo IV

    No offline mode, ever

    We think Diablo IV will never get an offline mode, not even on Nintendo Switch 2, before Diablo V comes out.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Nov 2028 Made

  • Stranger Than Heaven

    The Netflix film tells one era, not fifty years

    We expect the Netflix live-action film, once its story is announced, to cover a single era of Makoto Daito's life, most likely the 1929 Kure years when he becomes the Red Oni, rather than the game's whole fifty years.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Nov 2028 Made

  • The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

    The Witcher 4 slips out of 2028

    We expect CD Projekt to move The Witcher 4's release out of 2028 and into 2029 or later.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Nov 2028 Made

  • Civilization III

    No official remaster, but a fan-made one that plays to the end

    We expect 2K and Firaxis to announce no remaster, remake or console version of Civilization III before 2029. We think the closest thing to a remaster will instead be the open-source fan remake, and we expect one of its releases to play a full game from the first turn to a space race victory by the end of 2028.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Civilization IV

    Beyond the Sword's final patch stays final

    We expect no new official patch or content update for Civilization IV, Warlords, Beyond the Sword or Colonization before the end of 2028. We think the Beyond the Sword patch of June 2009 will still be the game's last version, with the later move to Steamworks the only exception.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Deadlock (video game)

    Free to play, paid for by cosmetics

    We expect Deadlock to launch free to play, earning from cosmetics and hero customization rather than a price to buy the game.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Elon Musk

    SpaceX and Tesla become one company by 2029

    We expect SpaceX and Tesla to combine into a single company before the end of 2028, with Musk as its chief executive.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Farscape

    A new Farscape is announced by 2028

    We expect a new Farscape series or film to be announced before the end of 2028.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • God of War (franchise)

    The trilogy remake comes from a partner studio, on PS5 and PC at once

    We think the remake of the Greek trilogy is being built mainly by a studio other than Santa Monica, with Santa Monica guiding it, and we expect it to launch on PlayStation 5 and PC on the same day.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Grand Theft Auto VI

    No story expansion, but a new Red Dead revealed by 2028

    We think Rockstar will release no paid single-player story expansion for Grand Theft Auto VI, and will instead reveal its next game, a new Red Dead, before the end of 2028.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Heroes of Might and Magic III

    Horn of the Abyss balance becomes a Remake option

    We expect Heroes of Might and Magic III Remake to offer a Horn of the Abyss balance setting, a switch that changes unit and hero numbers to the fan add-on's, either at launch or in its first year. We think no Horn of the Abyss town comes with it at launch.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era

    The first paid expansion: a seventh faction and the sea

    We expect Olden Era's first paid downloadable content to be a seventh faction released after the full release, and we think it brings naval play with it: ships, water maps and sea creatures together, sold as one expansion.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era

    Xbox consoles before PlayStation

    We expect Olden Era to be announced for Xbox Series X and S within a year of the full release, before any PlayStation or Nintendo version. We think it plays with a controller there but launches with mouse support on day one.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Patrick Stewart

    A Star Trek ship or academy named for him

    We expect Paramount to give a ship, a station or an academy in a new Star Trek production a name honoring Stewart or Picard before the end of 2028.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • SpaceX Starship

    The first crewed Moon landing slips past 2028

    We expect the first crewed Artemis landing, aboard a Starship lander, not to happen in 2028. Our prediction is that it comes in 2029 or later.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Subnautica 2

    Full release in 2028, with a PlayStation 5 version on the same day

    We expect Subnautica 2 to leave Early Access in 2028, at the short end of Unknown Worlds' estimate, and we think it reaches PlayStation 5 on the day of its full release, not before.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Tesla Roadster (second generation)

    No customer has a Roadster by the end of 2028

    We expect no second-generation Roadster to be delivered to a paying customer before the end of 2028.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time

    Majora's Mask is the next remake, on Nintendo Switch 2

    We expect Nintendo to announce a remake of Majora's Mask for Nintendo Switch 2 by the end of 2028. We think it reuses the Ocarina of Time remake's models, controls and Castle Town.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • The Valley (Dubai)

    A new Emaar community further down the road

    We expect Emaar to launch a new master community of its own on the Dubai-Al Ain Road, beyond The Valley, before the end of 2028.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Tomb Raider

    Tomb Raider II is remade next

    Our prediction is that a remake of Tomb Raider II, built on Legacy of Atlantis's technology, is announced before the end of 2028.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Wardogs

    Consoles at the full release

    We expect Wardogs to come to PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S when it leaves early access.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2028 Made

  • Donald Trump

    Most second-term tariffs outlast the term

    We expect most of the tariffs Trump imposed in his second term to still be in force on Jan 20, 2029.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jan 2029 Made

  • Donald Trump

    No nuclear deal with Iran in this term

    We expect Trump's administration not to sign a nuclear agreement with Iran before his term ends.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Jan 2029 Made

  • Elon Musk

    No return to government

    We expect Musk to take no formal role in the federal government again before Trump's term ends in January 2029.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jan 2029 Made

  • Diablo V

    A class that wields Diablo's own terror

    We think Diablo V will launch with a new class that draws on the Terror Realm itself, turning the Heir's bond with Diablo into a playable power, much as the Plague Knight turns disease into strength. Our prediction is that Blizzard reveals it last, close to launch, because it gives away part of the story.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Jun 2029 Made

  • Diablo V

    Day one on every Microsoft and Sony box, and on Game Pass

    We expect Diablo V to launch on Windows, PlayStation and Xbox on the same day, and on Xbox Game Pass from its first day. We think Nintendo gets it on day one too.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Jun 2029 Made

  • Diablo V

    The Heir carries Diablo in the blood

    We think Diablo V's story will reveal that the Heir's bond with Diablo is one of descent: the Heir comes from a bloodline Diablo once used as a vessel, which is why the Lord of Terror cannot simply destroy them.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Jun 2029 Made

  • Diablo V

    A paid game with seasons, not free to play

    We expect Diablo V to be sold as a paid game with seasons and a premium Battle Pass from its first months, the model of Diablo IV, and not to be free to play. We think Blizzard will also sell Class Packs for it after launch rather than promise yearly expansions.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2029 Made

  • God of War (franchise)

    Two heroes in the next Kratos game

    We expect the Kratos-led game that follows Laufey to make Faye playable for part of it, alongside Kratos, the first main God of War game with two playable leads. We think Atreus appears in it but is not playable.

    Confidence: Possible Check by: Dec 2029 Made

  • Heroes of Might and Magic III

    The first paid expansion is a new town

    We expect the Remake's first paid expansion to be built around a tenth town, and we think it will be one of Horn of the Abyss's towns, made with the HotA Crew.

    Confidence: Long shot Check by: Dec 2029 Made

  • Valheim

    Iron Gate's next game is co-op survival again

    We think Iron Gate's next game, whenever it is announced, will be another co-op survival game in a mythic setting rather than something new for the studio.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2029 Made

  • International Lunar Research Station

    Chinese astronauts on the Moon by the end of 2030

    We expect China to land its first astronauts on the Moon before the end of 2030.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2030 Made

  • NASA Moon Base

    No permanent crew on the Moon by the end of 2032

    We think the United States will not have people living on the Moon continuously by the end of 2032.

    Confidence: Likely Check by: Dec 2032 Made

What others predicted

Predictions made on video by creators, experts or a page's own subject, in their words and linked at the second, with our view and the result once it is known: 8 right, 1 partly right, 4 wrong, 28 open. These are not ours and are not in our tally.

  • ArcheAge Chronicles

    Ser Medieval: the Vitality Staff right after the Gladius

    Ser Medieval , at 1:49 Check by: Jun 2027

    "They are internally testing the vitality staff. We know that the Gladius is going to be the first one coming, but that one's probably going to be right after." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right that the Mage's third weapon comes second, since XL Games adds them one class at a time and a weapon already in testing is the closest to ready.

  • ArcheAge Chronicles

    Anders: the roadmap in December

    Anders , at 6:52 Check by: Dec 2026

    "So expect it soon after launch. I expect December." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right, because XL Games already tied its first update to December and needs a public plan to answer its Mixed launch reviews.

  • Forza Horizon 6

    HokiHoshi: a holiday circuit in the stadium

    HokiHoshi , at 8:32 Check by: Jan 2027

    "Probably going to be a holiday themed circuit in the stadium is my guess" (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right about the holiday theme but wrong about the stadium, since our own call is a mountain route outside Tokyo City.

  • Football Manager 27

    Clayts: modders bring back stadium images

    Clayts , at 5:51 Check by: Mar 2027

    "I'm sure somebody clever will bring that back at some point." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right within a few months of launch, once the editors and modding tools for FM27 are out.

  • Final Fantasy Resonance

    Davidvinc RPGs: the unannounced game is a Final Fantasy IX remake

    Davidvinc RPGs , at 10:14 Check by: Dec 2027

    "I think I know what it is. I think it's the Final Fantasy 9 remake that has now been put on ice." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think a Final Fantasy IX remake is coming, but we expect it in full 3D from a large team, not as an HD-2D game in Resonance's style.

  • Football Manager 27

    WorkTheSpace: a day-one patch

    WorkTheSpace , at 9:33 Check by: Nov 2026

    "There will be some kind of day one patch to I assume fix some issues that will pop up with so many people playing this game now." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right, and the studio has as good as confirmed it: its Nov 2 post promises an update to support the full launch, then a first post-launch update aimed at the match engine.

  • Football Manager 27

    Zealand: FM26 was the beta

    Zealand , at 9:45 Check by: Dec 2026

    "We're getting FM27 and kind of the way I predicted it. FM26 was basically a really long beta test for Football Manager in Unity, and now it seems like we're getting a more complete game." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think the critics' early scores bear him out, and that Steam's players will decide whether a beta should have cost full price.

  • Phantom Blade Zero

    Fextralife: his game of the year

    Fextralife , at 0:27 Check by: Jan 2027

    "this game is probably going to be my personal game of the year." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he holds to it in his year-end picks, because the combat he praised is what the reviews of the full game praised too.

  • Deadlock (video game)

    Gart: one or two major updates from a public release

    Gart , at 11:16 Check by: Dec 2027

    "I honestly think at this point we're one or two major updates away from this game becoming public." (YouTube's captions)

    Our view: We think Gart is early: at Valve's pace of five to eight months an update, two more updates reach late 2027 at best, and Valve's own list of unfinished work is longer than two updates.

  • Path of Exile 2

    Fubgun: free to play makes playing several accounts at once worse

    Fubgun , at 31:18 Check by: Apr 2027

    "And this will also get drastically worse once the game does come out in freeto play in December." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right, because a free second account removes the only cost of taking the bonus currency a party earns, and we expect GGG to cut that bonus within a league or two of 1.0.

  • Deadlock (video game)

    MrSupplyDrops: over 100 heroes within a few years

    MrSupplyDrops , at 1:23 Check by: Dec 2029

    "this game will probably end up having over a 100 heroes within the next few years if I had to guess." (YouTube's captions)

    Our view: We think it takes longer than a few years: Valve added 22 heroes between January 2025 and October 2026, and at that pace 100 heroes is more than five years away.

  • Aion 2

    Anders: Hard mode a few weeks after launch

    Anders , at 1:44 Check by: Nov 2026

    "There's also no hard mode conquest at launch. These should show up a few weeks in once the average player's combat power catches up." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he read NC's global pacing well, and that Korea's dungeons will keep arriving in Korea's order.

    Result (): Right. NC's patch notes of Oct 27 (PDT) added Hard mode to the Expeditions Urugugu Canyon and Vakron Sky Island at item level 2,700, three weeks after the launch (NC on Steam).

  • The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time

    IGN: a Majora's Mask remake in a couple of years

    IGN , at 10:40 Check by: Dec 2028

    "seeing Sakon the thief run through town just made me think it's inevitable that we'll see a Majora's Mask remake with these assets in a couple of years" (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think IGN is right about the assets and a little early on the timing; our own call is an announcement by the end of 2028.

  • Heroes of Might and Magic III

    Frags of War: Horn of the Abyss stays out of the Remake

    Frags of War , at 3:00 Check by: Dec 2027

    "unfortunately, that doesn't look like it will be brought over to remake. That would be just too big of an undertaking for a relatively small team, at least for now." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right about the towns at launch, but that Horn of the Abyss balance can reach the Remake as an option, as we predict above.

  • The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

    Neon Knight: quiet groundwork for The Witcher 4

    Neon Knight , at 3:53 Check by: Dec 2027

    "I do still think there will be some sort of groundwork laid for the next game, maybe subtly" (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right, and that the groundwork will be a mention of Ciri, not an appearance.

  • Probably Stolen

    The Scarlet Seeker: "very promising"

    The Scarlet Seeker , at 8:24 Check by: Oct 2026

    "So, very promising." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think it was a good call from one starting scenario, made before anyone knew how many people would play.

    Result (): Right. The game sold 350,000 copies in its first 24 hours and 1 million by Nov 6, 2026, with 96% of nearly 3,000 Steam reviews positive by Oct 30 (Questing Goose Studio and tinyBuild, Questing Goose Studio and tinyBuild).

  • Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era

    Heroes Take Turns: new factions as a later expansion

    Heroes Take Turns , at 12:58 Check by: Dec 2028

    "A new faction is the kind of thing that can define a major update or expansion later."

    Our view: We think the channel is right, and we expect that expansion to bring naval play with it.

  • Grand Theft Auto VI

    Blitzwinger: online and a PC version come later

    Blitzwinger , at 4:42 Check by: Dec 2027

    "obviously as time goes on, that will be a major update and then they'll also release the PC version." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right on both, and that the PC version will wait for the online mode rather than come first.

  • Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War IV

    Dawn Of War Central: Chaos in Aftermath, Jonah Orion in the prologue

    Dawn Of War Central , at 11:23 Check by: Sep 2027

    "I think overall that it will be the chaos that comes to Dawn of War 4 and that Jonah Orion will be leading the Blood Ravens in the prologue DLC." (the video's captions)

    Our view: We think the channel is right on both counts, for the reasons in our own predictions above.

  • Metro 2039

    WiseFish: the Stranger is really Hunter

    WiseFish , at 21:25 Check by: Mar 2027

    "I think it's fair to say that there is enough evidence within this trailer and the last that the protagonist must be Hunter." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is wrong, because 4A and Deep Silver name Hunter as the Fuhrer and the Stranger as a different former Spartan, and a twist that large would undo their whole campaign.

  • Fable (2027 video game)

    WolfheartFPS: Isabel can be talked round

    WolfheartFPS , at 7:45 Check by: Mar 2027

    "she clearly wasn't always like that. So, maybe there's some choice consequence involved with her where we the players can convince her of taking a new path" (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he may be right: it fits our own prediction that the Jack of Blades, not Isabel, is the last enemy.

  • Persona 4 Revival

    DavidCast JRPGs: Persona 6 in September 2027

    DavidCast JRPGs , at 19:18 Check by: Sep 2027

    "I'm really going to double dip double down on my prediction that I did before, and I'm just going to say it's 2027 September. So, the anniversary date for 30th anniversary of Persona, I think is what they're going for." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think Persona 6 comes later, in 2028, because Atlus is busy with Revival's Switch 2 version until May 2027 and has shown no Persona 6 gameplay with a date.

  • God of War (franchise)

    FatBrett: Kratos matters in Laufey

    FatBrett , at 10:51 Check by: Jun 2027

    "I suspect he is going to be a significant part of the story." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right that Kratos matters to Laufey's plot, but we expect him in a few short scenes, since the studio sells it as Faye's game.

  • The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

    gameranx: bigger than Hearts of Stone

    gameranx , at 8:42 Check by: Aug 2026

    "My hunch is that Songs of the Past is probably going to be bigger than that." (YouTube's automatic captions; "that" is an expansion on the scale of Hearts of Stone.)

    Our view: We think it was a safe call, since a studio does not name a third expansion eleven years on to make it smaller than the first.

    Result (): Right. At gamescom in August 2026 CD Projekt Red's level design lead Miles Tost introduced Letten as a fully realized open world comparable in scope to Blood and Wine, the larger of the two earlier expansions, which CD Projekt Red announced in 2015 at about 20 hours against Hearts of Stone's 10.

  • Fable (2027 video game)

    Matty Slop: a crowded February

    Matty Slop , at 8:46 Check by: Mar 2027

    "I do not think Fable will be standing head and shoulders above everyone else like it's the only big RPG there." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right, since our own call is a score in the low to mid 80s, enough to do well on Game Pass and Steam but not to dominate the month.

  • Chrono Odyssey

    Force Gaming: another beta in summer 2026

    Force Gaming , at 20:59 Check by: Sep 2026

    "I do believe they're targeting some more beta testing sometime this summer." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he read Kakao Games' February 2026 promise of repeated testing as a schedule, when no date had ever been given.

    Result (): Wrong. No public test of Chrono Odyssey took place in summer 2026: Chrono Studio's next announcement after May 7 was Developer's Notes #6 on September 22, 2026, which covered PC optimization and named no test date. The only public test is still the closed beta of June 20 to 22, 2025.

  • Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era

    GamerZakh: a pirate faction from Regna

    GamerZakh , at 32:55 Check by: Dec 2028

    "it's a high likelihood that they're going to be a faction added. not confirmed, but it would fit." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think a seafaring faction fits Olden Era's first expansion, though Unfrozen has hinted at nothing specific.

  • Stranger Than Heaven

    Gokudoni: Takashi becomes the acting Tojo chairman of Yakuza 0

    Gokudoni , at 2:48 Check by: Feb 2027

    "He may also wind up being the Takashi that we met as the acting Tojo chairman in Yakuza 0" (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think the link is plausible, since Takashi is Makoto's protégé and the story runs to 1965, but we doubt RGG Studio will spell it out in a game it refuses to call a series entry.

  • Metro 2039

    WiseFish: the Dark Ones are on the Stranger's side

    WiseFish , at 15:11 Check by: Mar 2027

    "I think they are actually the ones trying to reach out to the stranger to help them fight back against the Novoright and Hunter." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right, since the Dark Ones' voices joining the Fuhrer's chant in the Gamescom trailer reads to us as a warning, not an alliance with Hunter.

  • Enshrouded

    HackTheMinotaur 2: playing across platforms at launch

    HackTheMinotaur 2 , at 3:53 Check by: Oct 2026

    "we can reasonably assume it will be easy to play with other players on different platforms considering we can host our own games." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think cross-play comes, but later than he assumed, and first between PC and Xbox.

    Result (): Wrong. Keen's launch FAQ of Oct 13, 2026 says Enshrouded "will not be cross-platform at launch" and that Keen has "no current estimate" for it (Keen Games); 1.0 launched on PC and PlayStation 5 on Oct 15 without it.

  • Enshrouded

    HackTheMinotaur 2: the sky islands open at 1.0

    HackTheMinotaur 2 , at 3:20 Check by: Oct 2026

    "But that could change in autumn with the 1.0 release to Enshrouded, giving players a new area to explore." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he read the roadmap art correctly, and that a roadmap picture from Keen is worth taking literally.

    Result (): Right. Keen's launch announcement of Oct 14, 2026 describes Cinder's Cradle, added with 1.0 on Oct 15, as "a new biome of floating islands" (Keen Games), and its changelog says the Ancients lifted the earth there into a realm of floating islands (Keen Games).

  • Aion 2

    Grobs: as big as Throne and Liberty in the West

    Grobs , at 14:45 Check by: Oct 2026

    "I still think that this game has a decent foundation to become not the best MMO RPG we will have ever seen, but it could have an equal success as Thrron Liberty in the West." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he was right about the launch and that the lasting half of his call, a Western audience that holds like Throne and Liberty's, is still open.

    Result (): Partly right. On its global launch day Aion 2 peaked at 397,905 concurrent players on Steam, 61,605 more than Throne and Liberty's Steam peak (Inven Global), but its Steam reviews stood at Mixed, 50% positive in English, a month later (Steam).

  • Kingdom Come: Deliverance II

    Luke Stephens: Henry's story is over

    Luke Stephens , at 17:16 Check by: Mar 2028

    "I don't think they're going to do another game with Henry next. I think Henry's story is probably largely over." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he is right, because Warhorse announced only "a new Kingdom Come adventure" and has never presented it as Henry's next chapter.

  • Stranger Than Heaven

    Maf Otaku Defined: Makoto forms his own family, the Tojo Clan

    Maf Otaku Defined , at 3:41 Check by: Feb 2027

    "I'm certain that there's going to be a major plot in the story where Mako decided on forming his own Yakuza family, which leads to the Tojo clan." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think the May 2026 broadcast, which opened with Makoto founding his own crime family, has already proved him half right, and that the Shinjuku chapter finishes the job.

  • Heroes of Might and Magic III

    Norovo: the Bulwark would take a couple of years

    Norovo , at 12:40 Check by: Jan 2026

    "I would be very surprised if they go as far as releasing the [Bulwark] town as soon as new year 2026. I'm guessing it will be at least a couple of years." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think it shows how much faster the HotA Crew now works than in the twelve years between its first and second towns.

    Result (): Wrong. Horn of the Abyss 1.8.0 added the Bulwark on Dec 31, 2025, in time for New Year 2026 (HotA Crew; CD-Action).

  • Diablo IV

    Rhykker: the Paladin in the second expansion

    Rhykker , at 2:17 Check by: Apr 2026

    "I am 99% sure that the new class is going to be something like a paladin" (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think it was the safest call he could make, because the Paladin was the class players had asked for longest, and he was right to make it with confidence.

    Result (): Right. Blizzard announced Lord of Hatred at The Game Awards on Dec 11, 2025 and made the Paladin playable that night for anyone who pre-purchased it; the expansion came out on Apr 28, 2026 with the Paladin and the Warlock. He guessed the class might be called the Templar instead; Blizzard kept the name Paladin.

  • Civilization III

    Suede: OpenCiv3 will stop needing Civilization III

    Suede , at 2:01 Check by: Dec 2025

    "currently the project does not come with custom assets and you need to have civ3 installed to run it but this will change" (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he read the project correctly, though its own art is still placeholders.

    Result (): Right. OpenCiv3's Dutch 2 release of Oct 31, 2026 offers a standalone mode with placeholder graphics for players without a copy of Civilization III (OpenCiv3 on GitHub).

  • Civilization III

    Suede: Civilization VII is coming soon

    Suede , at 15:23 Check by: Feb 2025

    "c7's coming out soon and I have an open mind" (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he was right on the date, and that Civilization III's own players stayed with the 2001 game regardless.

    Result (): Right. 2K and Firaxis released Civilization VII worldwide on Feb 11, 2025, a little over three months after his video (Take-Two).

  • Towelliee

    Towelliee: BlizzCon every three years or so

    Towelliee , at 58:41 Check by: Sep 2026

    "No, I don't think BlizzCon will be a Microsoft event. I just don't think it'll happen as often. I think it'll be like once every like 3 years." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he read Microsoft's ownership of Blizzard correctly: a yearly show that announces no new game is hard to justify to a larger parent.

    Result (): Right. Blizzard set the next BlizzCon for Sep 12 and 13, 2026, in Anaheim, the first since BlizzCon 2023 and three years after it, Gematsu reported.

  • Artificial intelligence

    Geoffrey Hinton: AI reasons better than us by 2028

    Geoffrey Hinton , at 10:18 Check by: Oct 2028

    "In 5 years time I think it may well be able to reason better than us." (YouTube's automatic captions)

    Our view: We think he will be judged partly right: by 2028 AI systems will beat most people on written reasoning tests while still failing at things people find easy.

  • Elon Musk

    Musk: a self-driving Tesla from LA to New York by the end of 2017

    Elon Musk , at 15:01 Check by: Dec 2017

    "I think we're still on track for being able to go cross-country from LA to New York by the end of the year, fully autonomous."

    Our view: We think his dates for self-driving are best read as goals rather than schedules, and the Roadster's delays on this site follow the same pattern.

    Result (): Wrong. No fully autonomous coast-to-coast drive happened in 2017; in February 2018 Tesla said the deadline had passed and Musk gave a new one, Bloomberg reported.

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